瞿宛文的部落格國際經濟情勢
The Economist: Does the economy affect elections any more?
Robots may have swung the 2016 presidential election in America Finance and economics, Nov 28th 2019 edition https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2019/11/28/does-the-economy-affect-elections-any-more?cid1=cust/dailypicks1/n/bl/n/2019122n/owned/n/n/dailypicks1/n/n/ap/353090/n But politics has changed. Today’s most heated debates concern issues of identity and culture—openness to immigrants or free trade; attitudes to abortion or transgender bathrooms. Has the economy stopped mattering to voters?
强世功 | 帝国的技艺：如何从殖民地“撤退”？
强世功 保马 2019/11/20 https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAwNjU5NjYwNQ==&mid=2650729586&idx=1&sn=4e8ac45fca6f79fb68b7950aec9afde8&chksm=8300bee0b47737f6fbd5ebc0252053c78521ae2edfcf6cd3e41f78c4cacde634a4c11d55a575&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=&sharer_sharetime=1574311830162&sharer_shareid=f14234539e09a08e77a9206f4cc494e3&pass_ticket=s17Su4TLr6BdoCuczTRDuXR2WHlwL2FlZu5wq5fvuaMQzeXiTpskXIq%2BactxSV%2F%2F#rd 保马今日推送强世功老师《帝国的技艺》一文，本文梳理大英帝国对外殖民历史，指出以海洋贸易为经济核心的日不落帝国在五十年代面临全球殖民体制瓦解的颓势，如何改变外交策略以期最大限度地保全海外利益。强老师以英政府在中国香港的举措为例，指出直到二战香港人民都没有建立起对英国殖民政府的认同，积聚的矛盾直至“六七”运动爆发，心有余悸的英国政府调整对香港的政策，通过扶植本地精英开展代议制的方式培养港人文化上对英国的认同，通过改善社会福利和基础设施建设舒缓社会矛盾，尽管在政治和军事上遁形退场，“再殖民”的阴影却依旧挥之不去未得清算，悬而未解的问题终有一日会浮出水面。 本文原载于《读书》杂志2007年第11期，感谢“活字文化”公众号授权保马转载。
亚当·图茨 | 民主及其不满
From: 法意编译 法意读书 2019/11/19 https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzA5MDk2NzczMQ==&mid=2651244578&idx=1&sn=e089e7440665728225a33a3f944a3a38&chksm=8bf1f3febc867ae8eb7012f01e9f684f0401333af3e0950ae9b92eb6b8677a61d10e343c9a85&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=&sharer_sharetime=1574226613485&sharer_shareid=f14234539e09a08e77a9206f4cc494e3&pass_ticket=GLl%2BNLFDelsPU4nC56aOWoiAEVbIA9xbows103Pg3vLz8shPFxtov9xvXNdg5bgd#rd 法意导言 可以说，当前西方的自由民主制度已经遭遇到了系统性危机。在英国脱欧、特朗普当选等一连串“黑天鹅效应”事件接连发生后，我们不禁思考，民主制度是否已走到盡頭？甚至有观点认为，当前的政治紧张局势与1930年代民族主义和独裁统治崛起给民主带来的压力有异曲同工之处。哥伦比亚大学历史学教授、欧洲研究所所长亚当·图兹（Adam Tooze）于2019年6月6日在《纽约书评》（The New York Review of Books）上撰文，对民主危机的各方观点进行点评，并着重分析了大卫·朗西曼教授关于民主制度是否死亡的讨论。本文认为，对历史上的危机进行分析或有裨益。
40% of multinational profits are shifted to tax havens each year
Economists without borders https://missingprofits.world/?from=singlemessage&isappinstalled=0 Researchers from the University of California, Berkeley and the University of Copenhagen estimate that close to 40% of multinational profits (more than $650 billion in 2016) are shifted to tax havens each year. This shifting reduces corporate income tax revenue by nearly $200 billion, or 10% of global corporate tax receipts. […]
Wolf: why the US economy isn’t as competitive or free as you think FT
2019-11-14 Financial Times Martin Wolf reviews “The Great Reversal” by Thomas Philippon Philippon summarises: The US markets have become less competitive; this lack of competition hurts consumers and workers; the main explanation is political, not technological. The decrease in competition was due to increasing barriers to entry and weak antitrust enforcement, sustained by heavy lobbying […]