{"id":5444,"date":"2020-12-28T13:19:49","date_gmt":"2020-12-28T05:19:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/?p=5444"},"modified":"2020-12-28T13:19:49","modified_gmt":"2020-12-28T05:19:49","slug":"%e8%90%a8%e9%bb%98%e6%96%af%ef%bc%9a%e5%ba%94%e5%bd%93%e6%94%be%e5%bc%83%e5%80%ba%e5%8a%a1%e5%8d%a0gdp%e6%af%94%e7%8e%87%e6%8c%87%e6%a0%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/?p=5444","title":{"rendered":"\u8428\u9ed8\u65af\uff1a\u5e94\u5f53\u653e\u5f03\u503a\u52a1\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\u6307\u6807"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u539f\u521b Lawrence Summers \u8096\u7acb\u665f\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5206\u6790 2020\/12\/22<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIwNjA0MjY0MQ==&#038;mid=2650348227&#038;idx=1&#038;sn=37f1c218ef27bc07730b1918be592b96&#038;chksm=8f2a19bdb85d90abe61d46cdaf96e86c33f27f553a04be69dd917cd3b74cb665eb30d025f335&#038;mpshare=1&#038;scene=1&#038;srcid=1222y9V9OwbsrSsDyN5qERqy&#038;sharer_sharetime=1609038847828&#038;sharer_shareid=f14234539e09a08e77a9206f4cc494e3&#038;exportkey=AtCfWefx1JuEGdWefcvyOxE%3D&#038;pass_ticket=9LoKt%2BtBCe3fHRzIHVHH6NNwxEWAC9vQD4vNtISl3xTwQBPimqPdgPNWmMOfN8xB&#038;wx_header=0#rd<br \/>\n\u5bfc\u8bfb\uff1a\u672c\u6587\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u79d1\u9662\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7f16\u8bd1\u7684\u7b2c202\u671f\u667a\u5e93\u534a\u6708\u8c08\u3002\u672c\u6587\u539f\u9898\u540d\u4e3a\u201cA Reconsideration of Fiscal Policy in the Era of Low Interest Rates\u201d\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005Jason Furman\u662f\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea\u5b66\u9662\uff08HKS\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u5b9e\u8df5\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u62c5\u4efb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3002Lawrence Summers\u6559\u6388\u662f\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u540d\u8a89\u6821\u957f\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u62c5\u4efb\u514b\u6797\u987f\u653f\u5e9c\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u3002\u672c\u6587\u4e8e2020\u5e7411\u670830\u65e5\u520a\u4e8ePIIE\u5b98\u7f51\u3002<br \/>\n\u672c\u6587\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u4e86\u6709\u5173\u503a\u52a1\u548c\u8d64\u5b57\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u51fa\u5728\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e0b\u5e94\u5f53\u653e\u5f03\u503a\u52a1\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5728\u8861\u91cf\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u653f\u72b6\u51b5\u65f6\u5177\u6709\u8bef\u5bfc\u6027\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u53e6\u5916\u4e09\u79cd\u8861\u91cf\u8d22\u653f\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u79cd\u662f\u5b58\u91cf-\u5b58\u91cf\u89c6\u89d2\u4e0b\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u5360GDP\u73b0\u503c\u6bd4\u7387\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5229\u7387\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65e0\u9700\u62c5\u5fe7\u5f53\u524d\u503a\u52a1\u72b6\u51b5\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u662f\u6d41\u91cf-\u6d41\u91cf\u89c6\u89d2\u4e0b\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u5229\u606f\u652f\u4ed8\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u5728\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u8fd1\u4e4e\u5355\u8c03\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\u79cd\u662f\u8d22\u653f\u7f3a\u53e3\uff0c\u5373\u628a\u503a\u52a1\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u8c03\u6574\u89c4\u6a21\u3002\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u867d\u7136\u6709\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6307\u5bfc\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4f46\u56e0\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u592a\u5927\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u591f\u51c6\u786e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u957f\u671f\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4e3b\u89c2\u6027\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u507f\u503a\u989d\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\u662f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u548c\u4e3a\u5236\u5b9a\u6700\u4f73\u8d22\u653f\u76ee\u6807\u63d0\u4f9b\u80cc\u666f\u53c2\u8003\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u539f\u521b Lawrence Summers \u8096\u7acb\u665f\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5206\u6790 2020\/12\/22 https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzIwNjA0MjY0MQ==&#038;mid=2650348227&#038;idx=1&#038;sn=37f1c218ef27bc07730b1918be592b96&#038;chksm=8f2a19bdb85d90abe61d46cdaf96e86c33f27f553a04be69dd917cd3b74cb665eb30d025f335&#038;mpshare=1&#038;scene=1&#038;srcid=1222y9V9OwbsrSsDyN5qERqy&#038;sharer_sharetime=1609038847828&#038;sharer_shareid=f14234539e09a08e77a9206f4cc494e3&#038;exportkey=AtCfWefx1JuEGdWefcvyOxE%3D&#038;pass_ticket=9LoKt%2BtBCe3fHRzIHVHH6NNwxEWAC9vQD4vNtISl3xTwQBPimqPdgPNWmMOfN8xB&#038;wx_header=0#rd \u5bfc\u8bfb\uff1a\u672c\u6587\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u79d1\u9662\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7f16\u8bd1\u7684\u7b2c202\u671f\u667a\u5e93\u534a\u6708\u8c08\u3002\u672c\u6587\u539f\u9898\u540d\u4e3a\u201cA Reconsideration of Fiscal Policy in the Era of Low Interest Rates\u201d\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005Jason Furman\u662f\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea\u5b66\u9662\uff08HKS\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u5b9e\u8df5\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u62c5\u4efb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3002Lawrence Summers\u6559\u6388\u662f\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u540d\u8a89\u6821\u957f\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u62c5\u4efb\u514b\u6797\u987f\u653f\u5e9c\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u3002\u672c\u6587\u4e8e2020\u5e7411\u670830\u65e5\u520a\u4e8ePIIE\u5b98\u7f51\u3002 \u672c\u6587\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u4e86\u6709\u5173\u503a\u52a1\u548c\u8d64\u5b57\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u51fa\u5728\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e0b\u5e94\u5f53\u653e\u5f03\u503a\u52a1\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5728\u8861\u91cf\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u653f\u72b6\u51b5\u65f6\u5177\u6709\u8bef\u5bfc\u6027\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u53e6\u5916\u4e09\u79cd\u8861\u91cf\u8d22\u653f\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u79cd\u662f\u5b58\u91cf-\u5b58\u91cf\u89c6\u89d2\u4e0b\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u5360GDP\u73b0\u503c\u6bd4\u7387\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5229\u7387\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65e0\u9700\u62c5\u5fe7\u5f53\u524d\u503a\u52a1\u72b6\u51b5\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u662f\u6d41\u91cf-\u6d41\u91cf\u89c6\u89d2\u4e0b\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u5229\u606f\u652f\u4ed8\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u5728\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u8fd1\u4e4e\u5355\u8c03\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\u79cd\u662f\u8d22\u653f\u7f3a\u53e3\uff0c\u5373\u628a\u503a\u52a1\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u8c03\u6574\u89c4\u6a21\u3002\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u867d\u7136\u6709\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6307\u5bfc\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4f46\u56e0\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u592a\u5927\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u591f\u51c6\u786e\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u957f\u671f\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4e3b\u89c2\u6027\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u507f\u503a\u989d\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\u662f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u548c\u4e3a\u5236\u5b9a\u6700\u4f73\u8d22\u653f\u76ee\u6807\u63d0\u4f9b\u80cc\u666f\u53c2\u8003\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5444","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-reflections","category-international-economics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5444","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5444"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5444\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5445,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5444\/revisions\/5445"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5444"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5444"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5444"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}