{"id":220,"date":"2013-05-06T10:56:52","date_gmt":"2013-05-06T02:56:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/?p=220"},"modified":"2013-05-06T10:56:52","modified_gmt":"2013-05-06T02:56:52","slug":"%e8%a9%95reinhart-rogoff%e7%9a%84%e5%9b%9e%e6%87%89%e5%8f%8a%e7%88%ad%e8%ad%b0%ef%bc%8c%e8%ab%96%e6%ad%90%e5%85%83%e5%8d%80%e5%8d%b1%e6%a9%9f-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/?p=220","title":{"rendered":"\u8a55Reinhart-Rogoff\u7684\u56de\u61c9\u53ca\u722d\u8b70\uff0c\u8ad6\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u5371\u6a5f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\u83b1\u56e0\u54c8\u7279(Carmen Reinhart)\u548c\u7f57\u6208\u592b(Kenneth Rogoff)\u5c31\u662f\u90a3\u5169\u4f4d\u8457\u540d\u7684\u5f97\u51fa90%\u50b5\u52d9\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\u8aaa\u6cd5\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u72af\u4e86\u5982Krugman\u6240\u8aaa\u7684the famous Excel error\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\uff08\u898b\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u8cbc\u6587\uff09\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b2c\u4e00\u7bc7\u662f\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u56de\u61c9\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u8aaa\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u6279\u8a55\u8005\u8aaa\u50b5\u52d9\u4e0d\u8981\u7dca\uff0c\u662f\u592a\u5371\u96aa\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\u3002\u4f46\u6c92\u6709\u56de\u61c9\u6279\u8a55\u8005\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u5473\u7684\u7dca\u7e2e\u53ea\u80fd\u4f7f\u5206\u6bcdGDP\u7e2e\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f7f\u50b5\u52d9\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8b8a\u5927\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u80fd\u8d70\u51fa\u5371\u6a5f\uff1f\u6b50\u5143\u5371\u6a5f\u5df2\u7d93\u56db\u5e74\u4e86\uff01 \u7b2c\u4e8c\u7bc7\u5247\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u7bc7\u5c0d\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u6279\u8a55\u3002<br \/>\n\u5728\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u7dca\u7e2evs.\u22ef\u22ef\u64f4\u5f35\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u727d\u6d89\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u885d\u7a81\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u5982Krugman\u4e00\u518d\u5f37\u8abf\u7684\u570b\u5167\u968e\u7d1a\u5c0d\u7acb\uff0c1%\u820799%\uff0c\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u8207\u975e\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\uff0c\u4e00\u662f\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7684\u5bcc\u570b\u8207\u7aae\u570b\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u5bcc\u570b\u8207\u7aae\u570b\u4e4b\u5167\u7684\u5c0d\u7acb\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u885d\u7a81\u7b49\u7b49\u3002 \u7c21\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7684\u554f\u984c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u653f\u6cbb\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5176\u6240\u727d\u6d89\u7684\u500b\u5225\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u82e5\u975e\u5728\u6b50\u5143\u5340\uff0c\u5247\u65e9\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u500b\u5225\u3001\u8f03\u5bb9\u6613\u7684\u8655\u7406\uff0c\u4f46\u73fe\u5728\u7cfe\u7d50\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u554f\u984c\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c31\u96e3\u4ee5\u89e3\u6c7a\u3002\u6b50\u6d32\u8981\u5f62\u6210\u5171\u540c\u9ad4\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4ef6\u5bb9\u6613\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f88\u96e3\u8aaa\u672a\u4f86\u8d70\u5411\u70ba\u4f55\u3002\u4f46\u6703\u62d6\u7d2f\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u5247\u662f\u78ba\u5b9a\u7684\u3002<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ftchinese.com%2Fstory%2F001050241%3Ffull%3Dy&amp;h=GAQEy25sR&amp;s=1\" rel=\"nofollow nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.ftchinese.com\/story\/001050241?full=y<\/a><\/div>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ftchinese.com\/story\/001050190#s=n\" rel=\"nofollow nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.ftchinese.com\/story\/001050190#s=n<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u83b1\u56e0\u54c8\u7279(Carmen Reinhart)\u548c\u7f57\u6208\u592b(Kenneth Rogoff)\u5c31\u662f\u90a3\u5169\u4f4d\u8457\u540d\u7684\u5f97\u51fa90%\u50b5\u52d9\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\u8aaa\u6cd5\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u72af\u4e86\u5982Krugman\u6240\u8aaa\u7684the famous Excel error\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\uff08\u898b\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u8cbc\u6587\uff09\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b2c\u4e00\u7bc7\u662f\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u56de\u61c9\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u8aaa\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u6279\u8a55\u8005\u8aaa\u50b5\u52d9\u4e0d\u8981\u7dca\uff0c\u662f\u592a\u5371\u96aa\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\u3002\u4f46\u6c92\u6709\u56de\u61c9\u6279\u8a55\u8005\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u5473\u7684\u7dca\u7e2e\u53ea\u80fd\u4f7f\u5206\u6bcdGDP\u7e2e\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f7f\u50b5\u52d9\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8b8a\u5927\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u80fd\u8d70\u51fa\u5371\u6a5f\uff1f\u6b50\u5143\u5371\u6a5f\u5df2\u7d93\u56db\u5e74\u4e86\uff01 \u7b2c\u4e8c\u7bc7\u5247\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u7bc7\u5c0d\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u6279\u8a55\u3002 \u5728\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u7dca\u7e2evs.\u22ef\u22ef\u64f4\u5f35\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u727d\u6d89\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u885d\u7a81\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u5982Krugman\u4e00\u518d\u5f37\u8abf\u7684\u570b\u5167\u968e\u7d1a\u5c0d\u7acb\uff0c1%\u820799%\uff0c\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u8207\u975e\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\uff0c\u4e00\u662f\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7684\u5bcc\u570b\u8207\u7aae\u570b\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u5bcc\u570b\u8207\u7aae\u570b\u4e4b\u5167\u7684\u5c0d\u7acb\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u885d\u7a81\u7b49\u7b49\u3002 \u7c21\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7684\u554f\u984c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u653f\u6cbb\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5176\u6240\u727d\u6d89\u7684\u500b\u5225\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u82e5\u975e\u5728\u6b50\u5143\u5340\uff0c\u5247\u65e9\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u500b\u5225\u3001\u8f03\u5bb9\u6613\u7684\u8655\u7406\uff0c\u4f46\u73fe\u5728\u7cfe\u7d50\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u554f\u984c\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c31\u96e3\u4ee5\u89e3\u6c7a\u3002\u6b50\u6d32\u8981\u5f62\u6210\u5171\u540c\u9ad4\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4ef6\u5bb9\u6613\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f88\u96e3\u8aaa\u672a\u4f86\u8d70\u5411\u70ba\u4f55\u3002\u4f46\u6703\u62d6\u7d2f\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u5247\u662f\u78ba\u5b9a\u7684\u3002 http:\/\/www.ftchinese.com\/story\/001050241?full=y http:\/\/www.ftchinese.com\/story\/001050190#s=n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-220","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-reflections","category-international-economics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=220"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":223,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220\/revisions\/223"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=220"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=220"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rchss.sinica.edu.tw\/wwchu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=220"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}